Shed Distributor Party!

Posted on : February 1, 2011

If you don’t want to meet a Shed Distributor at a party then it’s a good idea to live in Canberra.  But if you do want to meet one, then live in Queensland!

Shedeye has conducted a study to determine the distributor density per state and the results are interesting!

State Indexed Relative Number of Distributors per capita
ACT 100
SA 190
VIC 196
NSW 223
TAS 295
NT 319
WA 324
QLD 493

This shows that you are nearly 5 times more likely to meet a shed distributor in QLD than if you live in the ACT.  Victoria and SA are the surprise here, both with very large populations but with a relative low distributor population per capita.

This gets even more interesting when you start to question why, as there are quite logical reasons for this disparity.  Taking a look at Land Area, Population density and the % of the population in the capital city in each state shows a good part of the story.

State/territory Land area (km²) Population (2006) Population density (/km²) % of population in capital
Australian Capital Territory 2,358 344,200 137.53 99.6%
New South Wales 800,642 6,967,200 8.44 63%
Victoria 227,416 5,297,600 23.87 71%
Queensland 1,730,648 4,279,400 2.26 46%
South Australia 983,482 1,601,800 1.56 73.5%
Western Australia 2,529,875 2,163,200 0.79 73.4%
Tasmania 68,401 498,200 7.08 41%
Northern Territory 1,349,129 219,900 0.15 54

(Source from Wikipedia and accurate at 2006)

Combining all of this data shows strong correlation between the percentage of population in the capital cities, an almost linear relationship with a couple of blips!  The population density has less of a correlation, due to most of Australia being an arid and barren place.

State Indexed Relative Number of Distributors per capita Population density (/km²) % of population in capital
ACT 100 137.53 99.6%
SA 190 1.56 73.5%
VIC 196 23.87 71%
NSW 223 8.44 63%
TAS 295 7.08 41%
NT 319 0.15 54%
WA 324 0.79 73.4%
QLD 493 2.26 46%

The correlation is very clearly related to the population density and the % population in capital cities.  One of the reasons for this correlation is attributed to the size of the blocks of land; small suburban blocks may not be suitable to hold large domestic sheds, while larger blocks are.  Hence the percentage  of the population in the capital city is one of the strongest influences, coupled with the policies governing the size of the blocks and the restraints in regard to planning permits on sheds in these cities.

QLD has the best conditions for Shed Distributors in Australia, with a relatively low centralization of population in the capital city and a relatively low population density.  Victoria is the real surprise with very high percentage of the population in the capital and a very high population density relative to all other states.  This again is a clear indicator of why there are relatively less distributors in Victoria.

The story is a bit more complex than the above tables indicates.  As with all statistics there is more to some of these stories than meets the eye.  For example, the Canberra market is largely served by nearby NSW border towns, due to the prohibitively expensive and rare commercial land in the ACT.  That said, I think you will find that this is an interesting piece of analysis!

Shedeye has analysed the shed industry down to discrete regions to ascertain potential areas that are saturated or under-serviced.  This report is available on request from support@shedeye.com.au

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